Stock Market

KeyBanc bumps Eaton stock to 'overweight' on growth in electrification, aerospace

Investing | Thu, Mar 13 2025 03:05 AM AEDT

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Investing.com -- KeyBanc Capital Markets upgraded Eaton (NYSE:ETN) Corp to “Overweight” with a $340 price target on company’s strong growth prospects in electrification and aerospace sector offsetting concerns over data center capital spending.

Eaton’s recent investor day reinforced confidence in its long-term growth trajectory, with the company raising its organic growth target to 6-9% annually through 2030, up from its previous 5-8% target through 2025.

While some investors worry about reduced capital spending on artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure, KeyBanc noted that only about 20% of Eaton’s Electrical Americas backlog is tied to AI, with the majority supported by cloud-related investments.

“We believe the recent pull-back in shares provides a unique entry point into one of our highest-quality names, which is evidenced by beatable/attractive LT targets,” KeyBanc analysts wrote, adding that the company’s exposure to utilities and aerospace provides additional support for growth.

Aging power grids and increasing electricity demand are expected to drive further investment in utilities, while aerospace benefits from a rising defense budget and strong demand for commercial aircraft.

Despite broader economic uncertainty, Eaton’s $11.8 billion electrical backlog and $3.7 billion aerospace backlog provide solid revenue visibility, KeyBanc said. While order growth may slow, the company’s capacity investments should sustain its growth momentum.

Eaton’s shares have pulled back recently, bringing its valuation closer to historical norms. The stock now trades at about 18.3 times next-12-month enterprise value-to-EBITDA, compared to its historical median of 17.2 times. While KeyBanc does not expect a major re-rating, it sees share price upside driven by continued earnings growth.

The firm expects margin expansion across key segments, with electrical and aerospace units showing the most improvement.

Capital allocation also remains a key part of Eaton’s strategy, with acquisitions and organic investments driving earnings growth. The recent purchase of Fibrebond, a provider of modular power enclosures, expands Eaton’s product offerings in data centers, utilities, and communications.

This article first appeared in Investing.com

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